Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.402123 0.443866 0.488655 0.540378 0.598575 0.662162 0.737072
2025-07-06 0.321341 0.376305 0.439471 0.517803 0.612842 0.725057 0.868525
2025-07-13 0.287245 0.350108 0.425816 0.524462 0.650695 0.808286 1.022232
2025-07-20 0.262391 0.330214 0.415036 0.530103 0.683968 0.885236 1.172790
2025-07-27 0.242979 0.314220 0.406234 0.535484 0.715080 0.959901 1.326049
2025-08-03 0.226069 0.299374 0.396765 0.537849 0.740727 1.027774 1.475389
2025-08-10 0.212734 0.287842 0.390228 0.542803 0.769286 1.101078 1.639318
2025-08-17 0.196040 0.270138 0.373384 0.531016 0.771517 1.134696 1.744713
2025-08-24 0.186801 0.262145 0.369457 0.537360 0.800783 1.211146 1.925706
2025-08-31 0.175975 0.250970 0.359884 0.534065 0.814287 1.263304 2.071388
2025-09-07 0.167732 0.242965 0.354305 0.536196 0.836109 1.330239 2.249205
2025-09-14 0.157911 0.231893 0.343217 0.528553 0.840933 1.368643 2.379733
2025-09-21 0.149331 0.222332 0.334038 0.523604 0.850347 1.416672 2.535706
2025-09-28 0.137849 0.207587 0.315792 0.502373 0.830056 1.410434 2.587654
2025-10-05 0.133251 0.203425 0.314143 0.508777 0.858489 1.494504 2.826922
2025-10-12 0.128819 0.199228 0.312101 0.514223 0.885452 1.578151 3.075882
2025-10-19 0.124670 0.195221 0.310066 0.519416 0.912200 1.663725 3.339990
2025-10-26 0.120286 0.190556 0.306594 0.521699 0.933497 1.740438 3.594896
2025-11-02 0.116644 0.186918 0.304620 0.526481 0.959861 1.829739 3.890355
2025-11-09 0.110548 0.178772 0.294340 0.515105 0.953388 1.850357 4.028247
2025-11-16 0.107683 0.176041 0.293408 0.521228 0.982428 1.948756 4.366796
2025-11-23 0.103556 0.170887 0.287846 0.518048 0.992064 2.005931 4.611335
2025-11-30 0.100470 0.167408 0.285097 0.520104 1.012692 2.089346 4.935125